Chart displays the US inflation rate and US unemployment rate. Red zones mark recessions (from stlouisfed.org).
6/8 of the past recessions are lead by inflation rates surpassing 5%. Only the dotcom recession had an inflation rate below 5%, and the other was COVID, which we are experiencing the resulting inflation currently.
so, every time the inflation rate jumps, unemployment follows on a lag. we can see that the ends of recessions are usually marked by a declining inflation rate and peaking unemployment rate.
but remember, this is not a recession and our country is in great hands.