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faylee
May 8, 2017 12:17 PM

Mid-long term Long Long

WTI CRUDE OILTVC

Description

Estimated Entry:$44.5-$45.3
Tp1:$47.5
Tp2:$51-52
Tp3: to be advised after breaking out $52
1H chart: wait for a retracement to buy

Trade active

Entry1: $46.3

Comment

1H chart update:

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Tp1 $47.5 is approaching, 100pips already
4H chart: some resistance here, move the sl to $45.3

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EIA crude oil inventories has the largest decline since 2016.

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tp1reached, it touched 48today, more bullish than i expected. nearly200pips for today!

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1H chart update:support zone:$46.8-47.2

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A joint statement between Saudi Arabia and Russia will extend the agreement on production cuts, oil flied above $49, now already 300pips.
just move sl to BE.
4H chart update: moving towards $49.9-51 today

Comment

4H chart update: $48 holds well, now start with wave v, tg: $51

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1H chart update: crucial support at$48, add long from$48.05-47.85, for tg:$51

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weekly chart: broke $51 will see $53,$55 again

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sorry wrong chart above, subject to this one
weekly chart:

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it touched $50 today, so far we already have 400pips, plus the position added yesterday, ttl 500pips. waiting for the breaking out.

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it finally closed $50.86, very bullish, next week WTI will star use new contract, hopfully price will break $51 in asian opening.

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Tp2 reached. Ttl 800pips for the trades already. Going to test $52.2 next.

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4H chart update: retrace $49.7-49.5 go long for tg:$52.2-52.5

Comment

It's already hit our tg, the ceiling of channel. Now likely going to retrace 49.6ish, we're now still holding longs from $46.3 and $48.2, can either take some profits for longs from$48.2,then wait for retracement to add longs, or, move sl to BE and holding.

Comment

4H chart update: Wave 5 tg:$52.2-52.5,in short term there could be some retracement, no ready to add more longs today, but only holding longs with sl being moved to BE.

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Daily chart update:
From $43.79 to $51.9 oil price has bounced $8, likely it is time to retrace. So far my strategy still buy the dips, in these two days, i will watch $50-$52 range, and support level $49.2. Curcial level at$48, once broke $48, will return to bearish trending.

4H chart update:
Possibly will consol in range for 2days,if $50 got support, will add a little more positions.

Comment

Fundamentals:OPEC ministers did not say they would extend the agreement on production cuts for 12 months or increase reduction.

Comment

4H chart update: it's now testing the crucial support at $48. Likely wave ii could be done here. It is the entry i would consider to add more. just watch for the signals.

Back to the Fundamentals: If you scroll back to my previous updates, you'll find that above $48 are the short term buyer for the OPEC who expected will extend the agreement to 12months. So i think they almost quit the market, and, imo, longer term player would focus on the demands. Jun. always the peak season for oil. Above all, i think $48 hopefully will hold the trend.

Trade active

$48.3
Comments
Salimo1901
Hi Faylee .
Great work .
Yesterday I took position on USOIL and SL was hit. So today, I was a little psychologically affected ... and I hesitate ... conclusion: I missed the trade.
I learn every day and I need to remove the bad side of psychology
thank you for sharing
faylee
@Salimo1901, hi, salimeo, thank you for your like:) my personal experience on trading oil is, don't trade frequently or daily, only involve in those potential profits above usd 6-8. and take sl usd1.5-2
profit taken usd4-5 every time
hope it would be helpful for you. good luck.
Salimo1901
@faylee, Thank you Very much
@++
DeanLim
@faylee, Agree. I did have consistant profits for 7-8days in a role but after that I tend to make big losses.
Bo
Spectacular play, sharp technicals, generous explanations. You are most kind, thank You~!~
TradeBullBear
nice call Fay!
prar30
@faylee Is is possible to get into this trade now? Possibly for TP2?
faylee
@prar30, you can follow up with this strategy, i will update once have oppotunities
prar30
@faylee, Thank you.
TradeBullBear
nice!
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