It has continued to drop below supports at 127.034 levels (around Friday's low and 7EMA).
As you can observe monthly and weekly technical charts, swings are drifting southwards in sloping channel testing timely supports and resistances within this channel.
Short term bulls seems to have given up the momentum in recent gains as the price curve approaches near resistance at 128.189 and 127.619 and upper BB (see red colour circled area).
Currently on daily plotting, (14) trending below near 54 levels (while articulating) diverging to the previous short term short term rallies.
While, %D crossover above overbought zones signals the extreme selling momentum, as a result bears would be on upper hand.
We also make out, monthly prices hovering well below 7 & 21 moving average curves, hence it is perceived as ongoing downtrend would drag further.
Most probable scenario would be that it may dip back upto 125.175 levels and then retest of channel support is also potential scenario.
Trade tips: Option Tunnel Spread
Well, on intraday terms, we capitalize on and and as they pop up with overbought pressures so far, deploy the option tunnel using ATM puts is structured as a binary version of a conventional put spread, i.e. long delta puts with higher strikes while writing the lower strikes for above mentioned targets on either side.
Once a tunnel is discovered a trade can be placed each time a candle cross the top or bottom . You place a trade on the candle that crosses over the . When the candle crosses the top you place a down trade.
Therefore an In-The-Money tunnel would be formed of an In-the-money -0.75 delta put below the current exchange rate less an Out-Of-The-Money put above the exchange rate. The delta of -0.55 on combined position with slightly negative theta is preferred on this execution.