WTI Oil Spot
Long

USOIL | Oil Holds Firm as US Inventory Draw Offsets Easing Risk

159
Macro approach:
- Oil prices held broadly steady after US President Trump suggested that military operations could be short-lived, easing fears of prolonged supply disruptions.
- Meanwhile, EIA data showed a further drawdown in US crude inventories, reinforcing signs of tighter near-term supply conditions. The latest report showed crude stocks fell by 4.45 mln barrels, against expectations for a small build.
- Oil prices may remain supported by tighter US inventories, although reduced geopolitical risk could limit further upside.

Technical approach:
- After a modest correction toward the support at 87.70, USOIL rebounced toward near the swing high. The price is above both diverging bullish EMAs, suggesting a potential uptrend continuation.
- If USOIL breaks above 89.90, the price may surge toward the next resistance at 92.00.
- Conversely, remaining below 89.90 may prompt a correction toward the immediate support at 87.70 and EMA21.

Analysis by: Quoc Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness

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