TradingView
jacobit
Sep 24, 2021 12:42 AM

Looks like a rounded bottom Long

ProShares Trust Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETFArca

Description

Enjoy the increase in volatility.

It looks like these parabolas are resolving at the kalman smoother slope change
Comments
MarlosClock
Great stuff, Glitch420
DaddySawbucks
You cannot hold this more than a few weeks without suffering rather severe time decay. Charts are misleading b/c the price is adjusted for splits.

This recently split 1:5. Since inception it's price has declined, adjusted for inflation, from over 1M per share. It's not a stock, it's a futurez fund.
Futures burn up and expire. The ETF decays. To win it you've got to buy it the day before a dump.
Look:
jacobit
@DaddySawbucks, you CAN hold this more than a few weeks without suffering. You just have to time it.
DaddySawbucks
@jacobit, Yes been there done that lol, suffered... but IMO ur probly right atm a fair bet, let's see!
sparo
@jacobit, That's rarely true. And it's really hard to do even for the professionals. 99% of the time you'll lose money holding UVXY. The thing that people get wrong about uvxy is trying to time it at all. Take what market gives you - SPY heads back to touch the 60 DMA frequently. Or use whatever trendline you like. Just scalp it as the market hits a negative divergence rather than waiting for some kind of 5x return. If you get it wrong set a tight stop and wait for the next one.
DaddySawbucks
@sparo, I'm in it EOD Friday. Bought VIX calls also. GL!
HHSPN
@DaddySawbucks, Question, VIX is just index, right? It has no decay unlike leveraged plays like UVXY, TQQQ, SQQQ.
DaddySawbucks
@HHSPN, The VIX is a pure theoretical index computed on a complex formula that measures change in demand for puts vs calls, more than just a P/C ration, it has a Byzantine calculation. It is NOT a stock and CANNOT BE TRADED. In your quotations you will always see bid/ask 0/0 as no shares exist.
When u trade it ur trading futures and options contracts. UVXY and VIXY contain only futures, they have no stock, so they decay rapidly. Do not hold this more than a week!
HHSPN
@DaddySawbucks, I see. Thanks for the help. When you I bought VIX calls, you are actually playing UVXY (or VIXY).
jacobit
@DaddySawbucks, gonna hold this for more than a week my man
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