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Apollo_CB
Nov 19, 2023 4:31 PM

Vale contracting monthly volatility Long

VALE S.A.NYSE

Description

Vale is a play I have been thinking about adding as I have sold my BHP holdings for other opportunities. The stock provides a strong dividend, international and metals (mostly iron) exposure. The company is a high cash flow company and does fluctuate with the iron markets for the most part. Iron is a lot different than gold and silver, and is showing an uptrend on the monthly time frame.

Chart wise we see contracting volatility, a retake of the .382 fib level and I am eying a retest of the .5. RSI shows a very similar structure to price action which confirms contraction. The stock sits right at the center of the Bollinger bands. If you look at the blue line on volume which is an SMA, you will notice a growing uptick. Investors are flocking to quality and value these days with many overheated technology and non-profitable stocks reaching obnoxious PE ratios and valuations. A search for a yield that overtakes the short-term treasury but has limited downside is what many larger funds are looking for, I believe Vale is one of those opporunities, much like my large Verizon bet ~ 30$.

Comment

An important note is the cash on hand continues to grow and the shares outstanding continues to decline.
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