TribeWriter666
Long

VeChain VETBTC Long, Bullish, Inverse H&S, Ichimocku and more

BINANCE:VETBTC   VeChain / Bitcoin
I had fun with this one, the more I looked the more there was to find. This really does look very bullish…

Main points:
*Break of median line in a long term downward trending channel
*Break of neckline of massive inverted head and shoulders Pattern
*Breakout of 3D Ichimocku cloud
*Bullish weekly 3 white soldiers pattern forming

The chart above shows a break of the long term downward trending Channel Median line:
Targets: 150- 160sat in confluence with the 3rd wave (Orange) shown in the road map below and the 0.5 Fibonacci retrace level of the last major move down from 272sat to 34sat shown above.

Road Map:
Wave 1: 110sat
Wave 2: 37sat
Wave 3: 160- 180sat
Wave 4: 113- 126sat
Wave 5: 189- 203sat

Elliott wave count suggests that we are in the 3rd wave ( shown below in Purple) of the 1st wave (White) of the 3rd wave(Orange). The target for the high probability zone of the 3rd wave (Orange) is 160 sat but the count on the 4h time frame (Purple) shows it could overshoot this target. A retrace to the high probability zone for the 4th wave (Orange) would put the price at 113sat, close to retesting the prior resistance at 110sat. Note this count is invalid if wave 4 breaks the high of wave 1 at 110sat. The final projection for the 5th wave at a 1:1 projection from the first wave is 189-203sat. The 5th wave target is also in confluence with the golden zone (.0618- 0.65 Fibonacci) of the last major move down. You couldn't make this stuff up if you tried!

Short term shows heavy resistance at 88 89 & 91sat due to the 0.707 Fibonacci level from previous high and the projection for the 3rd wave (Purple); 1.618 - 1.75 Fibonacci level taken from the proposed wave 1 and projected from the low of wave 2. If this is a 3rd wave we can expect a retrace to the 0.382 level, and retest of the VPVR high volume node at 69- 71sat before a continuation. This would also be a retest the median line of the channel shown in the 3D macro chart.

4h (Purple) Roadmap:
Wave 1: 64sat
Wave 2: 44sat
Wave 3: 88sat
Wave 4: 71sat
Wave 5: 98sat

Support, resistance and VPVR high volume node:
A break above 92sat will clear the algos out as the price enters a low volume area, this should allow for the price to test the 110sat area (former support and resistance of previous high).

Head and shoulders:
There has been a break of the neckline of a massive head and shoulders pattern formed over 20 months. The projected target for this breakout is 160sat, in confluence with the 3rd wave (Orange) on the macro.

Bullish 3 White soldiers pattern forming on the Weekly:

Ichimocku Weekly
Resistance in confluence with Wave 1 (white) projection:
weekly

Ichimocku 3D
Confluence with wave 4 (Purple) retrace:

Never Trust. Verify.
DYOR. Not Financial Advice Just an Observation.
Always remember: Technical Analysis is not about being right, it's about increasing your odds.
Be prepared to be wrong. Risk management is key. Capital preservation above all else.
Trade closed: stop reached: Wave 3 target reached!
Trade closed: target reached

Comments

Nice work! Keen to see your analysis of Zilliqa zil/usd & zil/btc great project by the way
Reply
TribeWriter666 johnnykaoss
@johnnykaoss, Thank you! Sure, I'll take another look, I've had Zil on my watch list for a long time, Just wish I bought some at the lows!
Reply
johnnykaoss TribeWriter666
@TribeWriter666, Cool! :)
Reply
TribeWriter666 johnnykaoss
@johnnykaoss, Sorry I haven't got around to ZIL yet... I've had a lot going on lately, I'll try and get to it soon :)
Reply
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