Every market downturn I encourage people to turn off the news and watch the VIX TVC:VIX Volatility Index to truly gauge the fear in the market. This recent market correction gave clear signals that I have noted in my Tradingview Ideas for weeks. Even though the media would lead you to believe that World War 3 was imminent the VIX was making LOWER HIGHS signaling that the market was actually pricing in less fear!
In this video, recorded for my work on Best of Us Investors, I go back and look at the volatility behavior around the COVID crash and how the same analysis of looking for VIX to rise or decline was the way to read the VIX price action in Q1 2022.
VIX is not the only thing to watch here: Crude Oil Prices, 2y to 10y Bonds, DXY etc. - but I agree to do your own conclusions and dont watch the media and be guided by it
clpettit
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I like this idea. The VIX has been putting in higher lows since Nov'21. Think I'll be doing some back-checking to see what this means.