LJtrade

Gold Long & USDJPY Short (long term view)

Long
TVC:VIX   Volatility S&P 500 Index
3
This graph explores what happened to the markets since 2007 when the VIX were at similar low levels. This is an extreme long term view and I must say for Gold in the shorter term (1-3 months) I am changing my previously published stance to neutral and my very short-term (1 to 2 weeks) is marginally bullish. My previous idea is still in play as there are short term opportunities to exploit with gold and silver correlation and some correction is still to take place.
Current Vix levels are given by some as the prelude to the financial market crisis in 2008 where similar fears of overvalued stocks existed on the back of low bond yields (used as risk free rate in valuations).
Firstly VIX and Gold are correlated and as risk increases so people buy gold. Vix is at historic low levels and will rise (just a question of when). Gold and the Yen will strengthen as the Vix rises.
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