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QuantitativeExhaustion
Dec 2, 2012 6:21 PM

CBOE VIX: Past, Present and Future 

CBOE Volatility IndexCBOE

Description

The first VIX, introduced by the CBOE in 1993, was a weighted measure of the implied volatility of eight S&P 100 at-the-money put and call options. Ten years later, it expanded to use options based on a broader index, the S&P 500, which allows for a more accurate view of investors' expectations on future market volatility. VIX values greater than 30 are generally associated with a large amount of volatility as a result of investor fear or uncertainty, while values below 20 generally correspond to less stressful, even complacent, times in the markets.

Read more: investopedia.com/terms/v/vix.asp

1987 LDC Crash- businessinsider.com/how-i-caused-the-1987-crash-2012-10
2008 CDS Crash - walletblog.com/2009/03/politicians-keep-quiet-about-the-cds-scandal/
Irrational Exuberance - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irrational_Exuberance_(book)
Natural Gas Bubble - businessinsider.com/theres-no-bubble-in-natural-gas-2011-6
BRIC Bust - telegraph.co.uk/finance/china-business/8957289/Chinas-epic-hangover-begins.html

What could cause possible Natural Gas Bubble Bursting or the bubble getting started? - forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2011/10/17/shale-fracking-causes-earthquakes/
Lot of money developing natural gas economies.. if this shall fail, we will revist new highs in the VIX

Comment

Europe is more than likely to see a bust. European countries are rallying to leave the single currency EURO.
Comments
A-shot
Can you please elaborate more on the euro and europe bust?
JamesG
Great Chart
NAPit
Very interesting
QuantitativeExhaustion
UnknownUnicorn13705
Nice chart, but...you forgot that, Nostradamus are predicting Bear market after 21 December 2013... so...I will be surprise to see people investing in stocks, as the world end :)
QuantitativeExhaustion
Yep, can't argue with Nostradamus.

However, there has been this pattern in the market for some time. If you believe in the EW Grand Super Cycle, then this cycle stops and Nostradamus is correct. -- Major Revolutionary Revolt and Crash
UnknownUnicorn13705
:) Will See lol:) have a good day!
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