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EmpowerTrader
Mar 11, 2020 8:56 PM

VIX Highest Level Since 2008 Short

CBOE Volatility IndexCBOE

Description

Level of volatility was at the highest level since 2008 on Monday. This coincide with the fastest 20% decline in the market history. Where the market has never seen this level of volatility and speed of decline since the Great Financial Crisis.

Despite this extreme move, some might speculate that the market will bottom soon evident with the peak caused by the crash on Monday. However, this is a very risky speculation as the VIX measures that rate of change not the level of gains or decline. In other words, the S&P500 can still decline by 5% in the coming week with the VIX barely moving.

On the other hand, if the VIX declines sharply, it can be interpreted by traders and the market that a bottomed is reached.
Comments
pierstrusi
I believe volatility from now on will go down cause besides your observation, I've seen in the past that when the Vix breaks down the last upside bar's low, is generally the end of the correction.
8755fa7f3aad420da4ac005cfdbed1
There's are two things I will never forget: Volitility kills retail traders. And your low today can become a high tomorrow. There is quite frankly nothing like a top and bottom in any market. Hindsight is the mother of all f@#% ups when trading the financial markets.
Dtsftit
EmpowerTrader
@8755fa7f3aad420da4ac005cfdbed1, Agreed. especially with leverage
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