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isosphere
Jan 10, 2018 12:54 AM

Rising Wedge on Valeant Pharma Short

Description

My last idea described this as an ascending triangle, but I was batshit wrong. It's a rising wedge reversal pattern.

Key features:
  • A rising trend
  • Higher highs, higher lows. Looks inherently bullish
  • A contraction of volume
  • A decrease in momentum - the confidence in this rally is wavering


When we see that lower line break with high volume, it should move fast to the downside. I haven't put much work into where it'll fall if it does, but I think it'll be enough that a target of $26 will result in a profit.

There may be a rally following the reversal, which may be a good buying opportunity.

Comment

Looking for the price to close below ~29.693 to trigger the breakout to the downside. If it does so convincingly, it might bounce back up but I think gravity will take it down soon after.

Comment

It did it, and I'm seeing some bearish candlestick patterns, if you're into that. Evening star on the 4h chart, three black crows on the 1h.

Trade closed manually

Didn't drop quite as much as I expected, but it got darn close.
Comments
mjgrier93
NOT TO BRAG
isosphere
@mjgrier93, totally to brag. :)
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