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Kumowizard
Jul 18, 2016 10:52 AM

Bearish, with divergences. May get some pull back (vol. pickup) Long

iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETNArca

Description

Weekly:
Simply bearish. Anyway, it is the nature of the long volatility Fund. Those who hold it jave to pay the money managers' fee and more importantly the continous roll down caused by VIX futures contango.
Weekly chart can go bullish only if we once ever have a krach in SP500... but as we know that is absolutely impossible with new type of central banking ;-) :-D

Daily:
- Ichimoku is bearish, but price moved quite far away from its equilibrium level (currently marked by Kijun and Senkou B at 14,75)
- Heikin-Ashi has important message! haDelta/SMA3 has built quite remarkable bullish divergence! It is still below zero line, but ticking higher, while price still made lower low. Probably the bearish price action in last few days happene on low volume, which means Bears are not so keen on selling heavily at these levels.
Candle last friday had small inside body and both upper and lower wicks!
- Bearish supp at 12,80 (Tenkan) and 14,70 (Kijun+Kumo)

4H:
- Ichimoku is bearish, but just like on the daily, Price is toofar below equilibrium levels.
- Heikin-Ashi signals indecision / consolidation. haDelta/SMA3 back to zero, has built positive divergence.


I think volatility has chance to pick up a bit. We can do small bottom fishing here, but don't expect huge rally in VXX. In case your own system confirms, you can go long with maximum 0,5 unit.
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