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gavinshear
Mar 10, 2021 5:42 AM

VXX about to pop Long

iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETNArca

Description

US dollar index is rising overnight. S&P was rejected at 3800 and on the way down since, futures see m to confirm the trend.

VVX has been looking for a bottom, while stock squeezes in GME and AMC could catalyze further volatility. Large scale rotation out of tech stocks will add to the volatility, especially if the recent uptick was a bull trap.

Yesterday's rise was accompanied by a drop in short term interest rates, and a turnaround in the trend of the dollar index. Chicken or egg?

Comment

We hit another bottom today as the dollar was sold off in large amounts to prop up the markets. TESLA fell anyway and the S&P ran out of gas at 3800.

By the end of the day the DXY and S&P/TES:A were moving in the same direction and I think they gave up because it wasn't worth it anymore. Expect a move tomorrow barring major intervention - which could set this off too.

Comment

The S&P was boosted today by a big sale of US dollars and also selling gold. It seems to still be working, about 3-5 minutes lag from the dollar index direction to the response from the S&P.

Left alone, the market could be about 50% lower.

Comment

Good job PPT.
Comments
luke1992
I keep thinking there will be a pop, but it seems nowhere in sight
gavinshear
@luke1992,

It very nearly did on Friday. Thankfully cooler heads prevailed. Mutually assured destruction is a powerful thing.
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