AT this aspect of the analysis will be straight forward because at this point, after studying the long-term trend (5-yr), we discerned that the price was trending up. After looking at the 1-yr chart my conviction hasn't been swayed although the price's trend is heading into a resistance cloud and 31.8% resistance level I feel there's enough momentum to break through them. At this point the long-term and mid-term perspectives look good the next will be to try to forecast the shorter-term prospective. BUT, I like the stock enough that I don't know that there's any more evidence from the price action to assuage me from further research. The last part of this analysis will be to do the fundamental analysis and understand the growth prospects of the company from within.
I'm not averse to doing the short term analysis, leave a comment if you'd like me to do it. Check my blog Ready Set Budget (readysetbudget.blogspot.com) for other aspects of financial planning.
by looking at the RSI would you agree, it's over extended?
godfrey1123
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@schery0581, Thanks for the comment. I'd still keep an eye on it as a bullish-play and there's a couple of higher-lows that have formed since the analysis; although, the acceleration isn't as fast. In terms of the capital gains there's an argument to hold it for the mid-to-long term and at this point I'd peak at the fundamentals to see if there's an argument to be made there. As a bank, I'd be looking at the debt-to-equity ratio, it's quick ratio, and you check the price-to-cash flow ratio; if the balance sheet looks good then yeah for sure pull the trigger. I hope this helps