this may be the most autistic idea i have yet seen on here. Firstly, you are citing the shape of a bug to determine stock prices, "butterfly pattern," is the male equivalent to researching a potential lover by looking up their zodiac/horoscope sign. Doesn't mean anything. You are also gambling against them getting a contract of $6,300,000,000 with the USPS which is looking more and more likely every day. You should consider just picking another stock to short because the odds are against you here. Maybe a 40% you are correct. I wouldn't take that gamble.