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Lifatov
Apr 8, 2017 9:24 AM

2000s Gold Bubble Snapshot Short

Gold/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description



Since the beginning of 2000s gold prices formed a typical bubble with four consecutive phases: a stealth phase in 2001-2005, an awareness phase in 2006-2007, a mania phase in 2008-2011 and the final blow-off phase developing since 2012. The blow-off phase is represented by three large patterns: a rectangle, a falling wedge and a H&S pattern. Now we expect price to reach an upper boundary of the large descending trend channel, which embraces all these three patterns, at around 1280/OZ before starting declining. After breaking a neckline at around 1050/OZ, gold will probably accelerate its decline falling further to 700/OZ, which is a low of 2008's bear trap.
Comments
PKA
I'm bearish but I doubt we drop that low. Likely around 1k or sub 1k. I could see 800's printing briefly.
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