Gold Market Technical Outlook and Key Levels BULLS/BEARS

Sep 15

📊 Technical Outlook Update — Gold (H4)

As of 15 Sep 2025
• Spot is holding ~$3,640–3,650/oz after last week’s record spike; price is consolidating since.
• On futures, settlement came in $3,686.40 (Sep 12) with a short-term “bullish breakout” narrative into today’s session.

🏆 Bull Market Overview

▪️ Massive rally now pausing below $3,700; momentum stalling under headline resistance.
▪️ Overhead resistances will limit upside:
 — $3,700 (first major cap) • $3,750 (stretch/overshoot)
▪️ Key S/R zones (now):
 — Resistance: $3,700 / $3,750
 — Support: $3,600 / $3,500 / $3,400 (step-downs)
▪️ Bias: short-term limited upside after the run; risk of liquidity sweep lower before trend resumes.
▪️ October roadmap: looking for a re-test near $3,500 later in the month to reload bullish flow/liquidity.
▪️ Volatility: elevated vs. summer; headline-sensitive into the Fed this week.

⭐️ Recommended Strategy (H4 game plan)

▪️ Sell the first tests into $3,700 / $3,750 with tight risk; fade wicks.
▪️ Buy the dip into $3,600 → $3,500 → $3,400 zones; scale entries, keep stops beyond structure.
▪️ Momentum traders: wait for clean H4 close above $3,700 to target $3,730–$3,750; otherwise fade spikes.
▪️ Position traders: patient bids $3,520–$3,480 zone preferred for October reload.
▪️ If flat right now: no chase—let price come to your levels.

Latest gold market updates

📈 Post-CPI pop kept spot above $3,640, reinforcing dip-buying interest even as the dollar firmed.
📰 Technicians flag bullish breakout dynamics despite intraday chop; futures settled $3,686.40 (Sep 12) ahead of fresh catalysts.
🧭 Context: market is consolidating beneath record highs set last week; pullbacks seen as tactical within a larger uptrend.


Level map

R2: $3,750 (bulls’ stretch / likely exhaust on first touch)
R1: $3,700 (primary cap; fade unless impulsively reclaimed)
S1: $3,600 (first bounce zone; liquidity magnet)
S2: $3,500 (October re-test area to accumulate)
S3: $3,400 (deeper flush / high-conviction buy zone)

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