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Mihai_Iacob
Apr 5, 2024 6:09 AM

XAUUSD: Will NFP Shift the Tide? Long

GoldOANDA

Description

In my post from yesterday, I mentioned the possibility of a correction for OANDA:XAUUSD.
In a subsequent update, I emphasized that while such a correction was likely, traders should consider selling after a new spike above 2300.
Indeed, the price did spike above this level once more, only to drop by 400 pips afterward, precisely to the significant support at 2266.

Now, the question arises: Is the correction for Gold over?

The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could provide some clarity on this matter.
With the expectation that 200k new jobs will be added, we have two potential scenarios:

1. A NFP significantly better than expected could result in a break below the important 2266 support, in which case, the range of 2220-2225 would come into play.
2. Conversely, if the NFP meets or falls below expectations, we may see a continuation of the uptrend, pushing the price above 2300 and forming a strong support level at 2266.

From a technical perspective, there's currently nothing indicating a deviation from the medium-term bullish trend and bulls seem to have established a strong support level at 2266.

P.S: I'm out of the market at this moment, but, my gut feeling tells me an in line with expectation NFP and a continuation to the upside. I will update the idea after the announcement.

Regards!
Mihai Iacob

Comment

Inspite of a very strong NFP, XauUsd continued to the upside and made a new ATH.
My gut feeling proved to be correct, also my analysis saying 2266 is very important floor for the price of Gold
Comments
Mihai_Iacob
What s your opinion on Gold, will it start a deeper correction or it will continue above 2300?
martinpieknik
Once again very good prediction. Now I think it might consolidate at around 2300 and then upwards direction again. .. 2400 might be also in the game in the near future.
Mihai_Iacob
@martinpieknik, very hard to predict a top now
martinpieknik
yeah, exactly. anyway it looks still bullish and every pullbeck seems good ocasion for buying . But honestly I don't trade it now. I see very nice opportunity in Palladium after two weeks lasting consolidation it should make next strong leg up 😊.
Setupsfx_
Great work as always Mihai
Mihai_Iacob
@Setupsfx_, thanks
Grogu1
Great post! Thank you.
Mihai_Iacob
@Grogu1, welcome
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