MQP PRESENTS - MY AMERICAN DREAM PART 1, THE REAL PIVOT
HEADER - This is the culmination of seven years of development in linear regression forecasting. This is what I have dedicated seven years of my life in order to do. That was seven years of hard work, seven years of data mining, seven years of "being a fool" and "chasing a ghost", seven years of blood and sweat and tears and most importantly, seven years I could have spent giving my children a happier and more complete childhood. Why? Because only in America can an undeducated "p-o-s" from a third-world country - me - grow up believing that such a dream is possible.
SUMMARY - The greatest lesson I learned in the quest for wealth - I learned from listening to Rick Rule (formerly CEO of Sprott Global Resource Investments) of Rule Investment Media - is to focus on providing utility for others and the rest will fall into place. While I fundamentally understand this concept, I harbor personal doubts because I understand that success still depend largely on the ability of each person to provide intrinsic value of said utility. This ability is also constricted by time and family responsibility. In a way, this is my "final fantasy" in the sense that I've given all I could (and even where I could not). That is to say I truly cannot proceed further without evidence of undeniable success. Definition of that evidence include: a) meaningful financial success by January 20, 2023, b) "exceptionally strong forecasting" of week-to-week gold prices for the next 155 days (to April 20, 2023, and finally c) undeniable proof of intrinsic value of utility in "exceptional strong forecasting" for 1200 days, or from now to March 1st, 2026.
DETAILS - If you have been following me from "RUMORS OF A PIVOT" series (links below), I left off last at focusing on silver. I arrived at a preliminary route for silver but it did not "mesh" with the possibilities of the gold route. After that I spent the last several days to dedicated-proof the route for gold. In the last 36 hours of proofing, I CANNOT MAKE IT MAKE SENSE (my term for this is "regression reconciliation") WITHOUT ONE MORE MAJOR LOW TO 1450. This I believe will happen 12/23/22 TO 01/21/2023. This chart is a very, very rough draft of gold prices for the following 1200 days. This I present within one hour of arriving at "the path" without a more dedicated chart because I believe it's ABSOLUTELY CRUCIAL FOR YOU TO UNDERSTAND THIS NOW. I will post an attachment for next 65 days soon as "MY AMERICAN DREAM PART 1B - NEXT 65 DAYS GENERIC".
NOTES 1- When I was very young, my father brought me to a bohdisattva. That bohdisattva gave me the Buddhist name, "Ethical Light". He foretold that one day, I will be able to help many people. It has been a major intention of mine in this 7-year quest that the fruit of this work help many people in need of a way to provide for their family, especially during hard times. To this day, I still believe that this work may produce that fruit. However, whether or this work fulfills hist forecast, I intend to live up to that spirit, one way or another.
NOTES 2 - There are three points I need to state clearly.
a) I do not know if we will break 1805 from now to 12/14 (next FOMC, 27 days out)
b) I do not think we will, if but if we do, it should be roughly 1830
c) this will be followed by a strong move to 360 move to 1500 area by 01/20, and 1450 by 02/20.
NOTES 3 - This is listed as LONG because the call here is to go long 1450 to 3450.
a) so 1450 in February 2023
b) 3450, maybe as high as 3950 by September 2025, so 2000 to 2500 move.
SUMMARY - The greatest lesson I learned in the quest for wealth - I learned from listening to Rick Rule (formerly CEO of Sprott Global Resource Investments) of Rule Investment Media - is to focus on providing utility for others and the rest will fall into place. While I fundamentally understand this concept, I harbor personal doubts because I understand that success still depend largely on the ability of each person to provide intrinsic value of said utility. This ability is also constricted by time and family responsibility. In a way, this is my "final fantasy" in the sense that I've given all I could (and even where I could not). That is to say I truly cannot proceed further without evidence of undeniable success. Definition of that evidence include: a) meaningful financial success by January 20, 2023, b) "exceptionally strong forecasting" of week-to-week gold prices for the next 155 days (to April 20, 2023, and finally c) undeniable proof of intrinsic value of utility in "exceptional strong forecasting" for 1200 days, or from now to March 1st, 2026.
DETAILS - If you have been following me from "RUMORS OF A PIVOT" series (links below), I left off last at focusing on silver. I arrived at a preliminary route for silver but it did not "mesh" with the possibilities of the gold route. After that I spent the last several days to dedicated-proof the route for gold. In the last 36 hours of proofing, I CANNOT MAKE IT MAKE SENSE (my term for this is "regression reconciliation") WITHOUT ONE MORE MAJOR LOW TO 1450. This I believe will happen 12/23/22 TO 01/21/2023. This chart is a very, very rough draft of gold prices for the following 1200 days. This I present within one hour of arriving at "the path" without a more dedicated chart because I believe it's ABSOLUTELY CRUCIAL FOR YOU TO UNDERSTAND THIS NOW. I will post an attachment for next 65 days soon as "MY AMERICAN DREAM PART 1B - NEXT 65 DAYS GENERIC".
NOTES 1- When I was very young, my father brought me to a bohdisattva. That bohdisattva gave me the Buddhist name, "Ethical Light". He foretold that one day, I will be able to help many people. It has been a major intention of mine in this 7-year quest that the fruit of this work help many people in need of a way to provide for their family, especially during hard times. To this day, I still believe that this work may produce that fruit. However, whether or this work fulfills hist forecast, I intend to live up to that spirit, one way or another.
NOTES 2 - There are three points I need to state clearly.
a) I do not know if we will break 1805 from now to 12/14 (next FOMC, 27 days out)
b) I do not think we will, if but if we do, it should be roughly 1830
c) this will be followed by a strong move to 360 move to 1500 area by 01/20, and 1450 by 02/20.
NOTES 3 - This is listed as LONG because the call here is to go long 1450 to 3450.
a) so 1450 in February 2023
b) 3450, maybe as high as 3950 by September 2025, so 2000 to 2500 move.
Comment:
NOTES 4 - This is the next 65 days:
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NOTES 5 - TYPO in NOTES 2, "of" 360 NOT "to" 360.
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NOTES 6 - Here is draft 1C, detailing for 1B.
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NOTES 7 - SILVER IS ANOTHER STORY, IT SHOULD HOLD 17.50 W/O A NEW LOW:
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NOTES 8 -- HOLD ON... I am not sure about that.. silver can still make a new low, it would just swing up twice as hard. I'll get back to this.
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NOTES 9 - I thought so, it should do this, down to 13, then up to 31:
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NOTES 10 - In this scenario, while silver would rebound to 31, a higher higher than 2020, gold would still be 1920-2015, probably closer to 2015, but still way under 2070 high set Aug 2020 and earlier this year.
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SAT 11.19, I AM WORKING ON A REAL CHEAT SHEET. ITS GOING TO BE A WHILE. BUT WE WONT MISS THE DECEMBER AND JANUARY SHORT.
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HERE IS 1D (this isn't the cheat sheet, I need the decision before I make one):
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HERE IS 1E: TEMPORARY CHEAT SHEET:
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NOTES 14 - I am convinced that is the route going forward. But I can come up with many reasons why it's not. FWIW, If we make second box (to the bottom), I would have near total conviction.
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NOTES 15 - I have pretty strong conviction as it stands, here is 1F:
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NOTES 16 - HERE IS 1G: GUIDE FOR TRADE EXECUTION (NEEDS NOTES). I WILL COMPLETE THIS IN 3 WEEKS PRIOR TO TRADE START.
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12/01 I have confirmation PIVOT IS IN. So here is 2A: PIVOT IS IN.
END OF POST.
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