1212 XAUUSD Trading Plan on Friday

Dec 11, 2025

Hello traders,

XAUUSD Trading Plan – December 12
(Based on 5/13 EMA, Fib Levels & 4-hour Chart)


1. Market Context
Gold remains in a strong bullish trend:
5/13 EMA is in a bullish alignment (short-term EMA above long-term EMA);
Price has broken through the "Breakthrough Level (4236.51)", with bullish momentum continuing;
RSI (14) is near 70 (slightly overbought), so a minor pullback may occur before further upside (avoid chasing highs blindly).


2. Core Strategy: Buy on Pullback (Priority Execution)
Entry Conditions
Price retraces to the 4225-4230 zone (meets both: ① 0.886 Fib support; ② 13 EMA support area), confirmed by a bullish 4-hour candle close.

Stop Loss
Below 4200 (breaks 13 EMA + 0.618 Fib level; risk exposure ~25-30 pips).

Take Profit
1. First target: 4285 (current swing high; profit potential ~55-60 pips);
2. Second target: 4329.74 (1.27 Fib extension; profit potential ~99-104 pips).


3. Secondary Strategy: Buy on Breakout
Entry Conditions
Price firmly holds above 4285 (3 consecutive 4-hour candles close above this level, with increased volume).

Stop Loss
Below 4265 (5 EMA support; risk exposure ~20 pips).

Take Profit
4329.74 (1.27 Fib extension; profit potential ~44-45 pips).


4. Risk Management
1. Limit position size to ≤2% of total capital per trade;
2. Exit immediately if price breaks below 4200 (avoid counter-trend trades);
3. Monitor Fed comments/geopolitical news and adjust stops accordingly.


Good Luck !
LESS IS MORE!

Dec 12, 2025

Trade active

Dec 12, 2025

Trade closed: target reached

TP1 hit.