Dara84

Uptrend to be continued after the corrective movement

Short
Dara84 Updated   
FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
9
The combination of 3 different Fibonacci retracements brings me to the conclusion that the gold market remains bullish, with a short-term bearish correction in the immediate future. Allow me to explain:

  • If you take a look at the first retracement from early June (in blue), you will notice that the breakout occured in the golden ratio region, & went way beyond the 0% level: A classic example of a Fibonacci retracement in a bullish market.
  • The second retracement (in orange) is drawn from the breakout point of the previous retracement, up to the resistance level at 0%. Following the correction back to the 50%-61.8% region, the bullish movement continued, however was not strong enough to go beyond the orange 0% level, which brings us to the 3rd retracement in green:
  • Based on the previous 2 retracements, it is possible that we will have a short-term correction again down to the 50%-61.8% (marked with the red arrow), only to have the 3rd breakthrough (blue arrow), which is supposed to go beyond the orange 0%.

Please note the parallel positioning of all 3 trend lines in comparison to each other, which underlines the continuous of the upward trend.

I will be happy to find out what you think about this. Please let me know.
Trade active:
I am very glad about the outcome of this strategy so far. The correction target has been achieved as predicted. Now I am expecting the long triggers to show gradually, & will update the page accordingly. Cheers!
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.