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rolandolucio
Jul 18, 2018 10:57 AM

PMC Index, Gold & Silver Correction in late cycle strong DXY 

0.035*XAUUSD+0.0175*XPDUSD+0.01*XPTUSD+0.9375*XAGUSDFXCM

Description

Hypotheses :

Scenario:
We are in a late cycle, expecting more FED interest rates hikes, and the TVC:GOLDSILVER at 70+ level, and strong USD TVC:DXY


if:
DXY stays strong and more FED QT
then:
At least a 28% correction in the money supply and Precious metals correction
May Hedge with cryptocurrencies COINBASE:BTCUSD
else:
Kind of stagflation in the horizon, PMC bouncing in range

unless:
Stocks Market enters 10yrs correction too
then:
possible recession
PMC, FX_IDC:XAUUSD and TVC:SILVER up to 40% correction
with TVC:GOLDSILVER ratio near 80
Unknown Bitcoin behavior, bias Bearish


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