Gold has a strong tendency to bounce on the 200 EMA. It happened many times in the last year. If gold can't break through that 200 MA, I would short it. Because if it doesn't cross, There wil be the formation of a Double top pattern, which is a bearish indicator. I am presently bullish on gold (GDX), but if we can't get through that 1260$ level, I'll go fully bearish (DUST).