Golden Wedge - Up or Down

FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
77 0 4
Waiting for wedge breakout. In technical term, the possibility of break-down is much higher than break-up.

However, current fundamental that supports break-down is quite confuse because China is landing their economy softly while US is just starting up their engine.I just don't sure which factor affect gold             price most.
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