Sangam-Agarwal

Gold Elliott wave count 19 Dec 2023

Long
VANTAGE:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
gold price made triple bottom at 1620 but veridical bullish trend was started after November fomc and it went straight up to 1824

bottom to top price has made 12345 leading diagonal chart pattern. Or you can say buy the rumor sell the news of lower size of rate hike
lower trend line has been breakout and now retesting that line again as resistance near 1791 level
counter trend correction sell (sl 1824, tp 1730 and 1720) target is to buy again 50% retracement level at 1720
buying zone start from 0.382 level and main target is 0.50 level

longer term trend of gold is bullish
key news core PCE on friday
(don't sell without sl )
(focus more on buying entry)

in ending diagonal price makes deep retracement
in leading diagonal price makes usually 10 to 38% retracement

fundamental : macro economic analysis
feb fomc = 25bps rate hike
march fomc = fed rate pause
june/ dec fomc = rate cut

rate cut and stagflation both are bullish for gold historically
bullish trend will last upto rate cut than on official announcement we will sell big correction
inflation target 4% in may/june 2023
high employment forcing fed to cut rate in 2023

summry
trend from 1616 to 1824 has completed
now we are in correction
after correction ends price will go up again


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