AlphaBeta

GOLD (XAUUSD) - Longer Term Trend (W1) & Outlook

Long
AlphaBeta Updated   
FX_IDC:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Gold (in USD terms) maintains it's intermediate to longer-run positive outlook within the confines of more or less the same slope structure since the turn of the century nearly two decades ago. While presently confined on the upside by resistance around $1250-$1265, nevertheless the upward trend remains in play from a longer-term perspective on the W1 chart. Any near-term weakness into support at the bottom of median line area (pitchfork) may be an opportunity to increase long exposure in portfolios with longer-term time-horizons of years and decades as opposed to days and weeks. Will Gold finally have a definitive breakout and resulting run to the upside before the end of 2019? Only time will tell, but the technical outlook along with other factors (including risk-reversals hitting highest mark this week since 2011; safe-haven demand amidst ongoing trade wars, currency wars, and potential hot-wars, et. al.,) suggest that the balance of probabilities continues to shift to the affirmative. Keep monitoring closely for further developments.
Comment:
fxstreet.com/news/gold-risk-reversals-hit-highest-since-2011-on-call-demand-201906100200?utm_source=tradingview&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=62d504f0-ae31-4d3d-bba5-11fb479d51ae
Comment:
So far so good. Looking to add to long positions immediately above former resistance-now-turned-support in $1,375 - $1,400 zone; that is, if the opportunity presents itself.
Trade active:
Holding long, for a while, this is a strategic allocation. May even consider adding later this year on dips down to $1750-$1850 zone.
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