goldenBear88

Gold is Technically Bearish / Fundamentally Bullish

OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
As I've stated in my Headline - Gold is Technically ready for Bearish drop - but Fundamentally could easily engage aggressive rise (Investors waiting for stimulus breakthrough) - so entering the market is pure gamble and better option lies in Trading the breakout. Despite the negative trade negotiations and Bullish Gap fill on Stock market, Gold is kept Supported above #1,965.80 (strong Support) and currently on negative gradient due to the mixed values on Bond notes. However I don't expect those to play that big of a role in the coming days. At the moment Gold is above the Support on Hourly 4 chart as I am not interested in further Buying / since I witnessed how Fundamentals can easily distort Technical trends throughout May-June-July, I will remain on sidelines and skip the Technical Selling sequence. All charts are firmly Overbought, and I expect Gold to normalize those levels and Hourly 1 Support test within #3 sessions. Gold is surely Bearish on the Medium-term since these Gold levels are overpriced as fair Gold value lies near #1,885.80. However Weekly chart has to test the the #1,910’s (below recent ATH ) zone before reversing towards #1,890’s again as it was always rejected no sooner before that zone for the past #7 years. Bullish spike on yesterday's U.S. opening Bell is nothing unusual since whenever session is without macroeconomic reports, Gold tends to spike up. What will cause this fall on Gold is a combination of Trade optimism (Stock markets rise, Investors taking Profits on #1,980’s levels on their Buy positions) but mostly in my opinion Bond notes levels. I should first see both assets recovering before Gold starts the decline. If Support is broken, Price-action will be calling for #1,940.80 extension and Bearish sequence similar to July #17 - #19. Again, if stimulus news arise, Gold can easily test the new All Time High priced at #2.000,80.
My Telegram channel: https://t.me/goldenBear88

Professional market analyst and Financial consultant with over #8 Years experience. I specialize Gold market using specific proven mathematical models. I provide market insights and Professional guidance.

Comments

Fair gold value at this point would be about 32K per ounce. For new all time highs at this point we have to be at around 4K relative to money supply.
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having new high everyday
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goldenBear88 TradeBullBear
@TradeBullBear, I certainly agree.
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Fundamental movements will be according to the bunch of news on Thursday and Friday. Before that the market will try to break 1978 and technical believers will try to go for 1940 (which I think won't happen)
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goldenBear88 ahmadalaei
@ahmadalaei, I think that regarding Long-term, it will for sure. Correction has to be strong.
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I love you man, but RIP. Time to just close your eyes and let it ride imo. Cheers
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goldenBear88 lowerlows
@lowerlows, “RIP” ? I cannot find connection with it. I am comfortably without a position highly satisfied with my Monthly Profits.
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lowerlows goldenBear88
@goldenBear88, RIP the idea of timing pullbacks. We have entered a manic 2017 bitcoinesque phase of the market. You are still the best guiding compass on here for metals. I greatly appreciate and always read all of your posts. Cheers
+1 Reply
goldenBear88 lowerlows
@lowerlows, It is such pleasure to read these words, especially from an experienced Trader such as yourself!
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