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JoeChampion
Jan 18, 2024 2:38 PM

Gold Downtrend: Analyzing CPI Impact on XAUUSD Short

GoldOANDA

Description

In today's trading session, our focus is on XAUUSD, where we are monitoring a potential selling opportunity around the 2020 zone. Gold, currently in a downtrend, is experiencing a correction phase as it approaches the trend at the 2020 support and resistance area.

Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, let's delve into the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Examining the CPI figures from the past few months, we observe a consistent pattern of inflation stability. The most recent data indicates a CPI of 3.4%, slightly surpassing the forecasted 3.2%, and showing a minor decline from the previous month's 3.7%.

Now, considering the potential impact on USD strength, stable inflation can contribute to a stronger US dollar. This is because a stable economic environment, reflected in steady inflation, is often viewed positively by investors. As the USD gains strength, it can put pressure on commodities like gold, which is priced in dollars. Therefore, traders should be mindful of the potential inverse correlation between a strong USD and the value of gold.

Traders are encouraged to incorporate both fundamental and technical analysis when evaluating opportunities in XAUUSD. As always, trade safe.
Comments
MyCryptoParadise_Nathan
Both fundamentals & technical are increasing the probability of bearish side. Great insight
JoeChampion
RLinda
I too am of the opinion that we may see a drop in the near future :)
JoeChampion
@RLinda, Sweet!
maharjanprogress
The recent one hour no top wick berish candle if forms a tip wick, would be a liquidity grab and after confirmation should be good for short.
JoeChampion
sybil123
Thank you for your analysis
kobethecancer
I agree i see liquidity at 2020-2024
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