Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

XAUUSD (Gold) 1H chart

108
The price action is forming a Double Top / Distribution structure near a key resistance zone.

Top 1 & Top 2 are clearly marked at almost the same price level.

This shows buyers are losing momentum and sellers are defending this zone strongly.

After the first top, price corrected, then retested the same zone → classic rejection behavior.

This pattern usually signals potential trend exhaustion if resistance holds.

🔴 Resistance Zone

Major Resistance:

5,085 – 5,100

Why this zone is important:

Multiple candle rejections

Double top formation

Price struggling to close strongly above it

Psychological round-number area

👉 A strong hourly close above 5,100 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the door for continuation.

🟢 Support Levels

Support 1 (Near-term):

5,030 – 5,040

This is the neckline / pullback base and dynamic support (near EMAs).

Support 2 (Major Target Zone):

4,860 – 4,880

This aligns with the projected move of the double top and previous structure support.

📈 Bullish Scenario

If price:

Breaks and holds above 5,100

Shows strong bullish candles with volume

Then:

Upside continuation is likely

Next bullish move can extend toward 5,150 – 5,180

📌 This would mean resistance has flipped into support.

📉 Bearish Scenario (Preferred if Resistance Holds)

If price:

Fails to break 5,085–5,100

Breaks below 5,030 support

Then:

Selling pressure may accelerate

Price can move toward 4,860–4,880 (pattern target)

This aligns with the double top breakdown projection shown on the chart.

Wait for confirmation, not anticipation

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Gold faced a clear rejection from resistance and has now dropped to 5068, confirming short-term bearish pressure. As long as price stays below the resistance zone, further pullback toward nearby supports remains possible.

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