How Will Gold Perform Ahead of the Interest Rate Decision?

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Market Outlook

Based on the chart, price has broken below the descending trendline. However, the breakout lacks strong momentum, and price is currently consolidating just above a key support zone. This suggests that the market still requires further confirmation before establishing its next directional trend.

Trend

* Short-term: Neutral with a bearish bias.
* Price remains below the major resistance zone at 4,086 – 4,088, indicating that sellers still hold the upper hand.
* A confirmed H1/H4 candle close above this zone is required to validate a bullish trend reversal.

Resistance Levels

🔵 4,086 – 4,088 – Primary resistance, aligned with the descending trendline and a previous supply zone.

* If price successfully breaks above and retests this area, the next upside targets are 4,104 – 4,115.

Support Levels

🟢 4,020 – 4,024 – Immediate support, which will likely determine the short-term direction.

🟢 4,000 – 4,001 – A key psychological support level. A confirmed break below this area could trigger a move back toward the 3,97x region.

🟢 3,970 – 3,973 – The final major support level if selling pressure continues to increase.



Trading Plan

🟢 BUY GOLD

* Entry: 3,974 – 3,972
* Stop Loss: 3,962
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips

🔴 SELL GOLD

* Entry: 4,086 – 4,088
* Stop Loss: 4,098
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips

Risk Management

* Risk no more than 1–2% of your account equity per trade.
* Wait for a confirmed breakout or rejection before entering any position.
* Consider moving your Stop Loss to breakeven once the trade reaches a reasonable profit level to protect your capital and reduce risk.

Disclaimer

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