The chart screams short because of the Apr13 experience. It may be a beautiful trap.
My Feeling: buy
How: stop 1110 on close
Acknowledgement: I was neutral in 2014 as i felt a collapse was possible. Then i tried to buy 1275 stoped 1230 - lost 80bp Then i tried to buy 1206 in smaller size and i am still long - will stop 1120 (would lose another 80bp)
if it jumps it will be a long ride up and I will add on the way.
Comments
look4edge
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maybe you are right, however, i got pic derived from my previous idea tradingview.com/v/Gq74m6QZ/ which speaks short
weekly pic is still weak, in daily, volume at support 1150 was nothing extra, now at ema34 retrace, good place for short reentry, same daily popup as in Jan15 occured in Sep12, just before breakdown, we are well below ema200, but needs to clear 1145/1155 poc zone
check site timingcharts.com you can display commercial shorts or net position, they had huge short positions in Jan15 decreasing sharply but still holding a lot
YaKa
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TAKE OFF.
Justiceisfalse
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Big bounce on HG monthly from 200ema as well........ reflation trade back on?
YaKa
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HG?
Justiceisfalse
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Copper
Justiceisfalse
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YaKa
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Copper ok.
Not sure about the reflation but maybe metals are not diving yet (anymore).
pezq
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My target is 1026 based on this analysis and the spike of 3 March 2008 - but I have both long and short positions!
YaKa
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Ah, that would be an even more complex scenario - yes falling here but not completing - Possible too.
It would allow shorts not to lose money.
There is a fight between long term investors who keep buying it and hoping and the day traders who do TA and mostly believe in the short.
pezq
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The flip area between September and October 2009 also gives some strength to this scenario
weekly pic is still weak, in daily, volume at support 1150 was nothing extra, now at ema34 retrace, good place for short reentry, same daily popup as in Jan15 occured in Sep12, just before breakdown, we are well below ema200, but needs to clear 1145/1155 poc zone
check site timingcharts.com you can display commercial shorts or net position, they had huge short positions in Jan15 decreasing sharply but still holding a lot