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AndyM
Jul 20, 2015 10:12 AM

Gold: higher low is due, bounce to 1240 after. Long

Gold/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Good morning all,

Here's an update on Gold EW setup - the violent flash-crash that we've seen earlier today is still part of the structure of wave 3 of an ending diagonal that is developing, so a bounce is expected after we complete the last wave of the down impulse (if it's not completed yet). Based on the behavior of the correlated instruments I think we need to see another low (or a higher low) in gold in the next few days before a bounce occurs. The reversal should correlated with the start of SPX sell-off, last lower low in EUR and Crude. This is supposed to take a few days, may be even till the end of the month.
Comments
IvanLabrie
Thanks, at last some coherent EW counting on this.
Everyone and their mother is saying this is it!
I very much doubt it.
Such a vertical drop, wave 3 of 3 of something for sure...
I'd short now, when everyone's bullish, aim for the bottom of 3 and then go long.
muslim_islam14
Ranngo
Andy fantastic chart. We just topped at 1191 right in wave 4. I see this chart was posted 3 months ago. Are you still of the opinion we are NOW heading to wave 5 and wave C.
I think we will be at wave 5 and C by Dec 2015 the latest. Any thought on timing since we just started wave 1 of 5 down. Anything you want to update to this chart or anything new?
AndyM
Hi,
I think this chart is the one that's valid. We have recently started A down of w5 of the ending diagonal. I expect this wave to unfold rather quickly, till mid.Dec, and then the FED will announce more QE, and the stocks, together with the currencies will start a major uptrend, so as Gold and Silver.
Ranngo
Thanks Andy. I really appreciate your comment.
IvanLabrie
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