Market Outlook
Trend
* Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle following the previous sharp decline.
* The descending trendline remains the primary barrier, so the short-term bias stays bearish until a clear breakout is confirmed.
Resistance Levels
🔵 4,094 – 4,096 – Near-term resistance and the initial breakout zone to watch.
🔵 4,125 – 4,127 – Major resistance, aligned with a supply zone and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
* An H1 candle close above 4,094 would increase the probability of a continuation toward 4,125.
* If bearish rejection signals appear around these resistance zones, selling pressure is likely to return.
Support Levels
🟢 4,038 – 4,040 – Intermediate support, serving as a key level to confirm the breakout if it holds.
🟢 4,015 – 4,017 – Major support, where the ascending trendline converges with a strong demand zone.
* As long as price remains above 4,015, buyers still have the opportunity to push for a breakout from the triangle.
* A break below 4,015 would confirm a downside breakout and signal the return of the bearish trend.
* 3,977 is the next downside support target if the bearish breakout occurs.
⸻
Trading Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD
* Entry: 4,015 – 4,017
* Stop Loss: 4,005
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD
* Entry: 4,125 – 4,127
* Stop Loss: 4,137
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
Risk Management
* Risk no more than 1–2% of your account equity per trade.
* Wait for price confirmation before entering a position.
* Consider moving your stop loss to breakeven once the trade reaches a reasonable profit level to protect your capital.
Trend
* Price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle following the previous sharp decline.
* The descending trendline remains the primary barrier, so the short-term bias stays bearish until a clear breakout is confirmed.
Resistance Levels
🔵 4,094 – 4,096 – Near-term resistance and the initial breakout zone to watch.
🔵 4,125 – 4,127 – Major resistance, aligned with a supply zone and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
* An H1 candle close above 4,094 would increase the probability of a continuation toward 4,125.
* If bearish rejection signals appear around these resistance zones, selling pressure is likely to return.
Support Levels
🟢 4,038 – 4,040 – Intermediate support, serving as a key level to confirm the breakout if it holds.
🟢 4,015 – 4,017 – Major support, where the ascending trendline converges with a strong demand zone.
* As long as price remains above 4,015, buyers still have the opportunity to push for a breakout from the triangle.
* A break below 4,015 would confirm a downside breakout and signal the return of the bearish trend.
* 3,977 is the next downside support target if the bearish breakout occurs.
⸻
Trading Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD
* Entry: 4,015 – 4,017
* Stop Loss: 4,005
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD
* Entry: 4,125 – 4,127
* Stop Loss: 4,137
* Take Profit: 200 / 500 / 1000 pips
Risk Management
* Risk no more than 1–2% of your account equity per trade.
* Wait for price confirmation before entering a position.
* Consider moving your stop loss to breakeven once the trade reaches a reasonable profit level to protect your capital.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
