It's Thursday, and today is expected to be a highly volatile day in the markets. OIL has the EIA data release, while gold will be affected by the ADP employment report and initial jobless claims data, both of which will likely have a significant impact on price movements.
Based on the already released API data, the upcoming EIA data is highly likely to be bullish for OIL. Therefore, the primary trading strategy today should focus on buying on dips. As I previously pointed out, both candlestick patterns and other indicators show clear signs of a bottom formation in oil prices. So, barring any unexpected events, today should be a day of gains.
As for gold, with two important data releases today, I expect one to be bullish and the other bearish, primarily setting the stage for Friday’s NFP report. Therefore, today's trading range is expected to widen, with resistance around the 2506-2514 zone and support in the 2468-2452 region.
From an overall perspective, short positions at higher levels offer better risk/reward potential. Hence, today's strategy should be to short first, then look for long opportunities on a pullback, and once the market rebounds, resume short positions after the upward move.
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