H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 15 June 2026.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH as per analysis dated 11 June 2026.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,023.870.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 16 June 2026.
Price did not print according to analysis dated 11 June 2026.
Price instead targeted strong internal high and printed a bullish iBOS.
However, due to the nature of the bullish iBOS, being very slight, I am not convinced of the validity of the bullish iBOS. Nonetheless, I shall remain with the systematic process and classify it as such.
Price has subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,369.665.
Alterative scenario:
Due to the insignificant nature of the bullish iBOS I would not be surprised to see price print a bearish iBOS by targeting strong internal low, priced at 4,023.870.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 15 June 2026.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH as per analysis dated 11 June 2026.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,023.870.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 16 June 2026.
Price did not print according to analysis dated 11 June 2026.
Price instead targeted strong internal high and printed a bullish iBOS.
However, due to the nature of the bullish iBOS, being very slight, I am not convinced of the validity of the bullish iBOS. Nonetheless, I shall remain with the systematic process and classify it as such.
Price has subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 4,369.665.
Alterative scenario:
Due to the insignificant nature of the bullish iBOS I would not be surprised to see price print a bearish iBOS by targeting strong internal low, priced at 4,023.870.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.