chartwatchers

GOLD - Double top or Bear flag?

FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
57
We are in an interesting situation. Gold almost never tops at its daily cycle as we are topping today. Gold almost always throws a curveball to the early shorts.
We couldn't tag 1390-1400$ - the target price counted from the pennant pattern - that is also pulling the price as a magnet...

Though we printed a daily swing today usually the first swing is a false swing and price still has work to do above the last daily high.

So I think that we are going to rally back to 1363. 1363$ is the neckline of the double top (blue line) and also there is the upper trendline of the flag.
When we tag 1363$ gold has to make a decision to break up from the flag and pop up to 1390$ or continue this decline to the daily cycle low.
My bets are on scenario 1.

All who is long now have to make his own decision to close at 1263$ or wait for the breakout up to 1290$.
Comment:
Crazy isn't it?
Gold never tops on the simply way.
Get ready. Decision time...
Comment:
We just tested back the Brexit top and the Bear market's weekly trendline....
Comment:
Gliow is right . The 15 min chart is very exact now.
Comment:
Breaking up from the flag would be a nasty trick.
A lot of people bet the farm on this short.
Comment:
We tagged 1263$. But I think the final decision will be at the NFP...
Trade closed: target reached:
I will be waiting NFP at the sidelines.
I'm thinking to put a small buy order a bit above the flag.
And a sell order below the flag.
To be in a position now is a coin toss.
Comment:
THEY HAVE CLEANED THE SHORTS !
THE REPORT WILL BE GOOD. GOLD WILL FALL
Comment:
I think smartmoney is pulling up now goldprice to get out of the miners at better price.
Comment:
Yes.... This is the case. Banks are selling the mining shares. They just needed a false breakout from the flag in gold before the us market open to sell everything at the open to the retail.

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