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Kumowizard
Aug 11, 2015 8:37 AM

Gold - Pull back within major downtrend. Hold counter longs. Long

Gold/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

As I wrote on Twitter yesterday, Gold had an interim bottom, the counter Bullish wave and buy signal was confirmed on the 4H chart above 1100.

Weekly:
- Bearish trend, bearish Ichimoku setup
- Last week's and recent candles together give a Heikin Ashi signal of bearish consolidation and/or possible pull back

Daily:
- Pull back within bearish Ichimoku setup. Clear initial Heikin Ashi signal from candles three amd two days ago, which was confirmed on lower time frame yesterday.
- First supp/res is Kijun Sen at 1120, but technically it may reach 1135-1150 area as well. (I think it will depend a lot on the USD)

4H:
- Ichimoku setup is bullish
- Heikin Ashi is bullish
- trail protective stops with Kijun Sen and/or 100 WMA
Comments
sami
nice analysis. what kind of pullback are you looking at in a week or so?
Kumowizard
Sorry, but I an not give such a prognosis. I think it can exhaust a bit ard 1135-1140, but if it goes up there at all, or when it happens I have no clue. That's why I say trail up your protective stops, and try not to focus on any targets, but focus rather on the protection of your existing profit.
Kumowizard
Also as you see 1135-1140 is a strong bearish support both on weekly (Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen area) and on daily (Future Kumo top + 100 WMA is getting down there)
sami
Thanks. I was long but was out last night.
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