XAUUSD (H4) – Lana’s Weekly Analysis: Waiting for pullbacks to Fib 0.618 & 0.50 within major liquidity zones 💛
Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1)
Gold is revisiting its previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout.
Primary Monitoring Timeframe
Timeframe: H4
Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance
Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to look for BUY opportunities at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50.
Market Context for the Coming Week
US Treasury yields, especially at the long end, remain elevated, making gold more prone to sharp short-term fluctuations.
Recent Fed commentary continues to reflect a cautious stance, while US political uncertainty may cause gold flows to become less predictable.
For this reason, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than attempting to forecast every short-term move.
H4 Technical Outlook (Medium-Term)
Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cool-down” phase to rebalance liquidity.
On the H4 chart, the two most important areas align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity zones, making them suitable areas to wait for pullbacks before continuing in line with the broader trend.
Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching
1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred)
Entry: 4216 – 4220
Stop Loss: 4210
This is an attractive Fibonacci discount zone and an area where price is likely to react if larger flows step in to support the trend.
2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy)
Entry: 4171 – 4175
Stop Loss: 4165
This scenario may unfold if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry from a positional perspective, though it requires patience.
Trading Scenarios for the New Week
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks
Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades.
If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs.
Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated
If price remains in premium territory with heightened volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries.
Instead, the focus is on observing price behaviour and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution.
Lana’s Notes 🌿
Each setup represents a probability, not a certainty.
Stop losses are always set in advance, with position sizing kept moderate to accommodate gold’s wide volatility.
Higher-Timeframe Trend (D1)
Gold is revisiting its previous all-time high (ATH), but volume strength has not yet been convincing enough to confirm a strong breakout.
Primary Monitoring Timeframe
Timeframe: H4
Method: Fibonacci + trendline + liquidity zones + support/resistance
Plan: Lana avoids chasing price and prefers to look for BUY opportunities at discounted areas around Fib 0.618 and 0.50.
Market Context for the Coming Week
US Treasury yields, especially at the long end, remain elevated, making gold more prone to sharp short-term fluctuations.
Recent Fed commentary continues to reflect a cautious stance, while US political uncertainty may cause gold flows to become less predictable.
For this reason, Lana prioritises trading clearly defined price zones rather than attempting to forecast every short-term move.
H4 Technical Outlook (Medium-Term)
Gold’s current trading range is relatively wide. After a strong impulsive move, the market often needs a “cool-down” phase to rebalance liquidity.
On the H4 chart, the two most important areas align between Fibonacci retracement levels and major liquidity zones, making them suitable areas to wait for pullbacks before continuing in line with the broader trend.
Key Price Zones Lana Is Watching
1) Buy Zone 1 – Fib 0.618 (Preferred)
Entry: 4216 – 4220
Stop Loss: 4210
This is an attractive Fibonacci discount zone and an area where price is likely to react if larger flows step in to support the trend.
2) Buy Zone 2 – Fib 0.50 + Strong Support (Deeper Buy)
Entry: 4171 – 4175
Stop Loss: 4165
This scenario may unfold if price sweeps deeper liquidity before rebounding. Lana considers this a safer entry from a positional perspective, though it requires patience.
Trading Scenarios for the New Week
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY on Pullbacks
Lana prefers to wait for price to retrace into 4216–4220, or deeper into 4171–4175, before entering trades.
If price reacts positively, upside targets will focus on rebounds towards higher resistance zones and the nearest recent highs.
Secondary Scenario – If Price Remains Elevated
If price remains in premium territory with heightened volatility, Lana does not recommend late entries.
Instead, the focus is on observing price behaviour and waiting for pullbacks into the predefined zones for cleaner, lower-risk execution.
Lana’s Notes 🌿
Each setup represents a probability, not a certainty.
Stop losses are always set in advance, with position sizing kept moderate to accommodate gold’s wide volatility.
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
💖 Love trading Gold? So do I! 📈 Sharing 12-15 XAU & Forex opportunities daily. 📊 96% win rate with solid technical analysis. . 👉 Get real-time signals & analysis in my group: t.me/+lPaSHkgAhmBjM2U1
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.