SUMMARY - PLEASE LIKE FOR SUPPORT. IVOR stands for Infinite Volume Oscillating Regression. This methodology has taken me almost 80 months to complete. This is a 40-day forecast for gold prices derived from: 1) accounting for (I can truly say w/o reservation) EVERY SINGLE period/time frame from hours to decades AND EVERYTHING IN BETWEEN, 2) volume-breakdown for ALL said periods/timeframes through 5 different tickers for gold prices. The five tickers are GC1! (futures), GLD (ETF), and three XAUUSD spot prices from IDC, OANDA, and FXCM.
DETAILS - As stated yesterday, low should be today before FED MINUTES that will be in about 4 hours at 2PM ET today(?). Minutes ago we tagged 1778. We have now passed LOW 1. This is the most statistically logical path for gold prices through January 3rd, 2022 with no 2nd place binary outcome. Unlike all previous "INFINITE REGRESSION" forecasts, this methodology has solved for practically all intermediate twisting-trend periods AND adjusted for differentiating volume across multiple gold tickers. What I mean by twisting trends is for example: when regression-periods from 100 to 300 bars are rising BUT STILL UNDER periods 300-400 as periods 10-40 stall. With respect to price action, holding 1785 through 11/28 eliminates even distant bearish outcomes. Tagging 1855 on 12/01 eliminates even distant sideways outcomes. Hence ADP should spike and NFP should sell the news tagging LOW 2 between 12/03 Friday close and 12/06 Monday open.
VERTICAL LINES - Light blue is FED minutes, gray is ADP, black is NFP, orange is CPI, red is PPI, blue is FOMC.
NOTES 1 - Bearish outcome is somewhere between 2-5%, but if it were to occur, we should know by end of 11/26.
NOTES 2 - Sideways outcome odds start to rise if prices stall at 1830s through 12/07.
NOTES 3 - While it's logical to say that last 48 hours of price action had something to do w/ POWELL renomination and FED bond-purchase switcheroo, I've got an even better reason that's going to seriously amaze next July to October, Likely 8/20 to 9/20 window.
DETAILS - As stated yesterday, low should be today before FED MINUTES that will be in about 4 hours at 2PM ET today(?). Minutes ago we tagged 1778. We have now passed LOW 1. This is the most statistically logical path for gold prices through January 3rd, 2022 with no 2nd place binary outcome. Unlike all previous "INFINITE REGRESSION" forecasts, this methodology has solved for practically all intermediate twisting-trend periods AND adjusted for differentiating volume across multiple gold tickers. What I mean by twisting trends is for example: when regression-periods from 100 to 300 bars are rising BUT STILL UNDER periods 300-400 as periods 10-40 stall. With respect to price action, holding 1785 through 11/28 eliminates even distant bearish outcomes. Tagging 1855 on 12/01 eliminates even distant sideways outcomes. Hence ADP should spike and NFP should sell the news tagging LOW 2 between 12/03 Friday close and 12/06 Monday open.
VERTICAL LINES - Light blue is FED minutes, gray is ADP, black is NFP, orange is CPI, red is PPI, blue is FOMC.
NOTES 1 - Bearish outcome is somewhere between 2-5%, but if it were to occur, we should know by end of 11/26.
NOTES 2 - Sideways outcome odds start to rise if prices stall at 1830s through 12/07.
NOTES 3 - While it's logical to say that last 48 hours of price action had something to do w/ POWELL renomination and FED bond-purchase switcheroo, I've got an even better reason that's going to seriously amaze next July to October, Likely 8/20 to 9/20 window.
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NOTES 4 - New forecasts will be every Sunday evening to Monday morning starting 12/05.
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NOTES 5 - When I say "practically all intermediate twisting", this is achieved by ratio of layers, but theoretically possible line by line w/ enough RAM.
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NOTE 6 - GLD 12/31 167 CALL: 2.83 (11/23), 2.91 (right now), ...
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NOTES 7 - The following charts are my proof for #001. They will act as reference for future forecasts.
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Insofar that's all the lines that matter down to 504-day regressive curve. I will move to 12 hour bars for the shorter curves.
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The only part I don't like about #001-12 is August high. I don't know it gets that high but we are 10 months out so take it with a jar of salt.
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The very distant bearish scenario is under 3% and should be eliminated by Monday open. The price action starting 12/06 is final determinant of how much zig zag we get on the way to 2140 or higher. As of right now I still see 2070-2140 clearing on 12/29 to 01/03. If we stop at 2015, then February will feature a 1960=2160 rally. In anycase 2/14-2/18 is shaping up to be THE HIGH before MAY/JUNE rally.
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TYPO* In PROOF #001-7, should be 5832, not 58342.
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TYPO* In PROOF #001-13, "the forecast is a rally THAT is...".
