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chartwatchers
Nov 3, 2017 4:41 PM

GOLD - No title Short

GoldOANDA

Description

I noticed that the ideas with best titles are simply not working or start to work only weeks later.
So this time there will be no title and hopefully I can break this rule...

Just as I expected in the previous ideas gold is trying to test back the last DCL's level at 1260,5$. In the meanwhile the 200 SMA is almost at the same level (1261,4$) I think today finally we will get the tag of 1260. If we break it significantly and drop below the 200 SMA a lot of bulls will give up the fight and we have a good chance that the panic selling starts.
As this flag was very frustrating the break down of it should be a fast move: so in 2-3 days (sometimes next week) we will be testing back the triangle trend line at 1240-45. It is the same level where Kim JongUn started the nuclear game in the summer. It was the mild DCL what I missed in late July or early August. Once that level breaks there is nothing until after 1206 the summer low. By that time the bears will be coming out of the caves crying for the sub 1000 $ level again. That will be our time to close the shorts and go long again.

The only question where the panic selling will start : at 1260,5 $ or below 1240-45$...
I'm quite sure the hysteria will break the summer lows at 1206 and we will test back triangle trendline at around 1190$.

SHORT follow through we are short from 1295$.

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Waiting for the close. Still in the money. Going to be tricky.

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Yesterday’s bounce was the preparation for the panic selling. All the bulls on the train so tge drop csn begin.

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The wedge is going to be ready soon.

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This time market preceded me. Traders are more and more nervous in the tightening wedge

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Breaking down. Let’s see if it’s significant or not.

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Significant. But I called a few hours earlier again... bad call ! :D

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Have a nice weekend folks!
Comments
AhmedKhattab
Arpi, I think its a 3 wave correction (we will tag 1305 first) then Fall

UnknownUnicorn540299
@AhmedKhattab, The circled area is a flat correction. Either current pattern is a ABC correction of a W3 (where we are in C) or ABC complete with a complex 3-3 unfolding is my take.
chartwatchers
@AhmedKhattab, not sure they are going to give us the tag of the previous top. I’m calling for a bull massacre in 2 weeks( probably starting next week) from now
BjornPfaff
Arpi we already making a daily bullish engulfing , you lost a lot of profit .. should take profit at 1265 where we had the triple bottom, we have a breakout from the 4hr trendline . 1300 is on the table now.
shinsky
@BjornPfaff, Sorry brah, you're wrong! It was a bulltrap!
BjornPfaff
@shinsky,

A bulltrap? :)))) then why is the market rising instead of coming down :) weird is it ? ;) we are climbing my friend. enjoy
BjornPfaff
@shinsky,

Bulltrap ,hmm not in question watch the market goes to 1290 then we talk
BjornPfaff
@shinsky,

Always the same person who judge my analysis it is funny to see time to time ;) let me guess you are short from the center of the earth
lord_kinbote
@BjornPfaff, Thats what happens when someone gets too cocky. Being humble is very rare trait.
fruitman82
Hi @chartwatchers

This is what I think will happen. Scenario 1 is in play, sucking in all the bulls before the drop into the ICL

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