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JonathanWong
Mar 7, 2016 4:35 AM

Gold short play intact Short

Gold/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Gold has formed a reversal candle at the top of a downward channel with Friday's close. The divergence on MACD is getting more pronounced as indicated by the pink lines. Looking at a price target of about 1130 - 1150 to coincide with both 200 day Moving Average as well as Fibonacci Retracement 61.8% level. Since 2013, prices has fallen on average 9-11% from the top of the downward channel (will post chart picture for clarity).

Comment

Historical Price Drop from Top of Channel since 2013.

Comment

Prices of gold subsiding from top of channel. Short position might very well play out after next week's BOJ and FOMC meetings.
Comments
showmethepips
just looking at the COT data commercials are extreme short ..... i like your trade setup
JonathanWong
Thanks. Open positions for commercials and swap dealers are net short but prices have been pushing higher.
showmethepips
Probably still increasing NET shorts.....
showmethepips
Ill short GOLD but not until its tested 1300
JonathanWong
cheers! Safe trading and good luck!
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