Victor.Y.F

"Two worlds one future" from the movie "upside down 2012"

FX:XAUUSD   Gold/U.S. Dollar
197 5 4
2 months ago
Warning: Pure theory not for trade.
This is an example how correlation changes. After that red line we have an upside down situation. It's a self-fulfilling machine.
2 months ago
Comment: In case we have a rates hike next week. Watch out the SMA 10 months, it's the key.
snapshot
2 months ago
Comment: Remember that: There's no turning point without extreme sentiment and volitality and capital squeezing. We could see multi spikes above SMA 10 months. This is an other 2001 cycle not likes 2008.
2 months ago
Comment: It was the rates hike pushed inflation from 0.7% to 1.4%. Think about it who is making the inflation? Or manipulating market?
2 months ago
Comment: What's the market done at 2001 cycle. Where those spikes will be. Time and dates are not accurate, they're removed for a better chart view.
snapshot
2 months ago
Comment: Thank you for your likes! This is how the trend has been forming.
snapshot
2 months ago
Comment: Stay tuned renminbi is broadcasting ......
2 months ago
Comment: After that thin red line we have inflation leading us for 11-12 months. From time perspective we shall have 11 months gold running to Nov. 2016 at least. From price perspective if it's rising as the same angle as 2009 we should have 30 dollar per 0.1% inflation. The target is 1046+30*14=1466.
The upside down world means when the gold is up, the inflation is down. So at 1466 we will have lower inflation in USA which is too low to help FRB then they have to do it again. The second hike will support inflation up to 1.4% or more and should draw down gold. At the second hike we could calculate the angle per 0.1% inflation down it suppose to be flatter than the up angle and we could predict how long the draw down will be and how deep it will be.
2 months ago
Comment: Patience is the key virtue of a good investor. This pair has its 10 months SMA at 1268 after last month close. Let's see the price there.
2 months ago
Comment: I knew some top authors are looking my chart.
snapshot
2 months ago
Comment: Stop buying, the trend colud have been change down.
No update untill clearly directions.
9 hours ago
Comment: Huston we have problems.
As the chart showing us the DXY is representing the USA inflation or we can say EURO now is the measuring currency for the inflation. Usually, we always have USD as the price measuring currency because EURO is not a popular currency for all over world countries markets, they are all aiming to the USD for pricing all kinds of commodities. From 2015 CHF black swan the correlation is inversed by manipulating from FRB and SNB. For my point of view they're all selling the gold now because USD is the inflation but not the gold.
But we have Trump wins in 2016. We now know he is cutting tax from companies and repealing health insurance plan. The incomes of US treasury will be less and only double the US bunds can help the budget of US government finance. We can not rule out that FRB will rise rates in Dec. 2016 because the Trump wins will change it. It's very hard to change the long term correlation like that without an other black swan situation. We're watching it very carefully if any thing can change it back. That means if the inflation is weak gold should fall and DXY should rise.

Here is the thing:
1, correlation goes on without black swan, inflation up DXY up gold down, inflation down DXY down gold up.
2, correlation changes back to normal by black swan, inflation up DXY down gold up, infaltion down DXY up gold down.
And from my point of view NO hike in Dec.
Victor.Y.F
2 months ago
Thank you for your likes!
Reply
albertwt
2 months ago
OK, so in this case, Since gold will be down, CNY will be going up after 1st October 2016 ?
as predicted by this graph: http://i.imgur.com/8NPFmos.png
Reply
Victor.Y.F albertwt
2 months ago
The link is my chart too. I suggest you read the gold chart again.
Reply
albertwt Victor.Y.F
2 months ago
OK, I can see multiple chart as a picture on this page.
Reply
Victor.Y.F
9 hours ago
Huston we have problems.
As the chart showing us the DXY is representing the USA inflation or we can say EURO now is the measuring currency for the inflation. Usually, we always have USD as the price measuring currency because EURO is not a popular currency for all over world countries markets, they are all aiming to the USD for pricing all kinds of commodities. From 2015 CHF black swan the correlation is inversed by manipulating from FRB and SNB. For my point of view they're all selling the gold now because USD is the inflation but not the gold.
But we have Trump wins in 2016. We now know he is cutting tax from companies and repealing health insurance plan. The incomes of US treasury will be less and only double the US bunds can help the budget of US government finance. We can not rule out that FRB will rise rates in Dec. 2016 because the Trump wins will change it. It's very hard to change the long term correlation like that without an other black swan situation. We're watching it very carefully if any thing can change it back. That means if the inflation is weak gold should fall and DXY should rise.

Here is the thing:
1, correlation goes on without black swan, inflation up DXY up gold down, inflation down DXY down gold up.
2, correlation changes back to normal by black swan, inflation up DXY down gold up, infaltion down DXY up gold down.
And from my point of view NO hike in Dec.
Reply
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