salsapete

Gold Count for the Bulls - another attempt at publishing this !

FX_IDC:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
3
Here is another look at the longer term picture of Gold with wave count , with some fibs to consider.

1. Primary Wave 3 topped out in August 2011 @ 1.618 fib extension of Primary Wave 1. This wave had equal intermediate waves 1 & 3 , and alternated to Primary impulse with an extension of intermediate wave 5.

2. Primary Wave 4 was completed in October 2015. This wave retraced the primary uptrend back to the 4th wave of one lesser degree ( intermediate wave 4)

3. Primary Wave 5 has completed intermediate wave 1. A zig zag correction has taken a .786 retracement of intermediate wave 1. This may suggest that intermediate wave 2 has also completed, and we may have established a low for Gold @ 1118.

Projections

1. Assumption 1 - Golden Section ( .618 - .382 fib split with wave 4) would have Wave 5 terminate at .382 extension of Primary Waves 1-3 @ 2550 ( Happy Bulls)

2. Assumption 2 - given it is unlikely to see 2 extended Primary waves within this bull uptrend, then there may be equality between Primary Waves 1 & 5. Now we have a target of 1819 . Which would provide a truncated Primary 5th wave , and would be an ominous sign for the bulls.

3. Assumption 3 - the top wave count for primary Wave 5 , is a .618 extension of waves 1-3, @ 2947. ( Bull Heaven) . Others would say Bull %$#@ !!!


Keep your eyes on the prize. :)
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.