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OrigamiOracle
Dec 31, 2020 4:51 AM

Bitcoin - 10 year trade plan Short

Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitMEX

Description

The market appears to be in an extended ABC pattern. Price has recently touched the 1.5 horizontal extension from $1,000 to $20,000 (yellow), as well as the 1.33 and -1 diagonal extensions (blue) - indicating a potential top.

White bar pattern represents the correction from $20,000 to $3,333 (white box). This was placed with the high at the current price and the low at $1,000 in 10 years.
$1,000 was decided as this was the phase 1 horizontal resistance before the breakout into the 2017 hyperwave. A correction to this level is expected as the phase 2 trendline of the hyperwave was broken. 10 years was decided as this marks the end of the predicted period of deflation (see related chart: the 20 year depression)

Trade plan:
Buy: $16,781
Sell: $23,779
Buy: $6,425
Sell: $12,889

I will use leverage for one trade only:
Side: Short
Entry: 23779.0
Stop Loss: 30001.0
Target: 6425.0
RR(BTC): 12.93
RR(USD): 2.79
Comments
Godofcatchemaal
no one knows. very interesting hypothesis. just a matter of time before the hammer comes down on usdt. anything can happen.
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