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gazur
Apr 12, 2020 5:50 PM

Bitcoins risk/reward ratioΒ Short

Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitMEX

Description

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We had a nice quick pump (caught by πŸš€MSTSπŸš€), we probably took over leveraged shorts in this weekend mambo jambo we are all costumed to.

-retested the 0.382 Fib level
- retested descending trendline from the broken triangle formation
- perfect short at those levels

Now, are we mooning to 100k tomorrow? I think we shouldn't get ahead of ourselves, but what is for granted is a very good opportunity to short with an excellent risk reward

- The Fibonacci retracements: 1.236 and 1.382 line up perfectly with previous support
- Historically when CME is closed bitcoin does not play big moves to the downside
- Historically weekends have stop hunts that play in quick succession to both sides (big bois playing the small fish).
- This pump gave a nice reset to indicators but at the moment did not turn any to bullish on the 2H+

With this said, a good 2:1 risk/reward short is a great play till next bounce area at 6500$.

Take to consideration:

- Closing 2H candle above previous highs will probably pump BTC up to next resistance at 7800$.
- The dump did not have heavy bearish signature.
- We still have the ascending trendline from this macro distribution pattern at 7.250$
- Anything is possible, we just have to react to it =)

Trade closed: target reached

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looking to reopen
waiting for clarity
Comments
Rolypop
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nice!
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