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Good_Trading_Calls
Jan 13, 2020 3:07 AM

Big Downward Trendline Tested | Bitcoin $4500 Short

Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitMEX

Description

Observations

  • Bearish Flag : Price is currently in Resistance of it.

  • Previous Resistance : Resistance Zone ($8775-$8355) has been a Immediate Resistance Previously

  • Trendlines
    a) Yellow Trendline : Price action is following the previous trendline drawn from $13920 (All Time High in 2019)
    b) Red Trendling : This trendline is showing strong signs of Reversal from $8800.
    c) Green Trendline : This trendline is the one where the current price action is moving around.

  • 0. 5-0 . 618 Retracement : When Overall Trend is Bearish , All Pullbacks are made from 0. 5-0 .618 Retracements. These Retracements have been marked in the chart and are very crucial for future update.
    a) Retracement 1 : 0.5($8177) - 0.618($8600) Current Reversal Zone.
    b) Retracement 2 : 0.5 ($9375) - 0.618 ($10075) , If $9100 is break above then this is our Potential Reversal Zone

  • Bearish Butterfly Pattern : It's Potential Reversal Zone is also coinciding with our Resitance Zone which increases the vaildity of a Bearish Trend.

  • Technical Indicators
    a) RSI - Overbought
    b) RSI Stochastic - Overbought
    c) MACD - Cross is about to be printed. Hints Bearish Trend
    d)Momentum - Loosening of Momentum has started.
    e) ADI - +DI crossing ADX downward. ADX and -DI are rising.


Conclusions
Price action seems to settle down well in Current Resistance Zones. In Ideal terms, Bitcoin is going to test out $8700 after which Bearish Trend Prevails.
If the bullish trend is so strong that we break $9100 dramatically, We are going to test out our 2nd Resistance Zone ($9375-$10075)

Wild Thought
From Last 5 Years, In the month of January, Bitcoin price gains 20-25% and DUMPS back to 50%. Wonder, If this situation is about to be executed in Couple of Days ?

Disclaimer
None of my any analysis should be considered as an Investment Plan/Financial Advice. Cryptocurrency is a Volatile market with High Risks.
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