wallstreetwise

BTC - Bearish through the end of the year

Short
KRAKEN:BTCUSD   Bitcoin

Looking at the YTD chart, it's clear that we are only just starting our dive into a bear market. Assuming Wave A retraces to $2,869.2, Wave B will take us to a peak of approximately $4,400. Some folks will look at the upward momentum and see this as a new bull market forming. It's not. Don't fall for that trap.

Once we reach the Wave B peak, there will be a long downward retrace until we bottom out around $1,087 (just so we're clear, that is not some arbitrary number I just pulled out of a hat). Wave C bottom was calculated by multiplying the height of Wave A by Fib's Golden Ratio (1.61803399). Per EW Theory, Wave C can extend BEYOND 1.61803399 x Wave A, which means that we could fall into the sub-$1,000 region.

With that said, this is NOT the end. This is just how things go. We spiked from $700 to $4970 in one year. So, we were inevitably overdue for a bear market of similar magnitude. That said, 2018 will be a great year. Good luck.

-MV
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.