OrigamiOracle

Bitcoin Trade Plan |O.o| 9-Nov-19

Short
OrigamiOracle Updated   
BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
Trade 1:
Side: Short
Entry: 9008.0
Strop Loss: 9085.0
Target: 8431.0
RR(BTC): 6.76
RR(USD): 7.49

Trade 2:
Side: Long
Entry: 8431.0
Strop Loss: 8278.0
Target: 9209.0
RR(BTC): 4.17
RR(USD): 5.08

Trade 3:
Side: Short
Entry: 9209.0
Strop Loss: 9378.0
Target: 7721.0
RR(BTC): 9.83
RR(USD): 8.80

The current state of all November trades can be found in the following spreadsheet:

docs.google.com...JbRrDpuOig/edit?usp=sharin...

This Post will be updated any time a trade is added/cancelled/changed/opened/closed within this trade plan.

|O.o|
Trade active:
Trade 4 Added (Open):

Trade 4:
Side: Long
Entry: 8781.0
Strop Loss: 8722.0
Target: 8989.0
RR(BTC): 2.65
RR(USD): 3.53

Comment:
Trades 1, 2 and 4 updated Updated:

Trade 1:
Side: Short
Entry: 9109.0
Strop Loss: 9181.0
Target: 8421.0
RR(BTC): 8.74
RR(USD): 9.56

Trade 2:
Side: Long
Entry: 8311.0
Strop Loss: 8139.0
Target: 8918.0
RR(BTC): 2.97
RR(USD): 3.53

Trade 4:
Side: Long
Entry: 8782.0
Strop Loss: 8722.0
Target: 9069.0
RR(BTC): 3.68
RR(USD): 4.78

Comment:
I was overthinking the entire forecast, as I have often done in the past. Here is the simplified outlook and trade plan:

Trades 1 and 3 changed, Trade 2 Cancelled:

Trade 1:
Side: Short
Entry: 9167.0
Strop Loss: 9352.0
Target: 7721.0
RR(BTC): 8.78
RR(USD): 7.82

Trade 3:
Side: Short
Entry: 9167.0
Strop Loss: 9352.0
Target: 4301.0
RR(BTC): 53.27
RR(USD): 26.30

Comment:
Comment:
Trades 1, 3, and 4 updated:

Trade 1:
Side: Short
Entry: 9294.0
Strop Loss: 9426.0
Target: 7801.0
RR(BTC): 12.33
RR(USD): 11.31

Trade 3:
Side: Short
Entry: 9294.0
Strop Loss: 9426.0
Target: 4301.0
RR(BTC): 75.23
RR(USD): 37.83

Trade 4:
Side: Long
Entry: 8782.0
Strop Loss: 8722.0
Target: 9189.0
RR(BTC): 5.22
RR(USD): 6.78

Trade closed: target reached:
Trade 4 closed, Target Reached
Comment:
Trades 1 and 3 changed, Trade 5 Added:

Trade 1:
Side: Short
Entry: 9343.0
Strop Loss: 9471.0
Target: 7801.0
RR(BTC): 13.15
RR(USD): 12.05

Trade 3:
Side: Short
Entry: 9294.0
Strop Loss: 9631.0
Target: 4301.0
RR(BTC): 31.85
RR(USD): 14.82

Trade 5:
Side: Long
Entry: 8851.0
Strop Loss: 8719.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 2.80
RR(USD): 3.36

Comment:
Trade 6 Added:

Trade 6:
Side: Short
Entry: 9147.0
Strop Loss: 9201.0
Target: 8951.0
RR(BTC): 2.82
RR(USD):3.63

Comment:
Trade 6 Updated:

Trade 6:
Side: Short
Entry: 9159.0
Strop Loss: 9201.0
Target: 8926.0
RR(BTC): 4.13
RR(USD): 5.55

Comment:
Trade 5 Changed, Trade 6 Cancelled:

Trade 5:
Side: Long
Entry: 9001.0
Strop Loss: 8979.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 7.81
RR(USD): 13.32

Comment:
Trade 5 Updated:

Side: Long
Entry: 8986.0
Strop Loss: 8979.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 14.51
RR(USD): 44.00
Comment:
Trade 5 Updated:

Side: Long
Entry: 8986.0
Strop Loss: 8968.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 9.29
RR(USD): 17.11
Comment:
Trade 5 Updated:

Side: Long
Entry: 8978.0
Strop Loss: 8959.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 9.24
RR(USD): 16.63

Trade closed: target reached:
Trade 5 Closed, stop reached
Trade active:
Trade 7 Added (Open)

Trade 7:
Side: Long
Entry: 8934.0
Strop Loss: 8908.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 8.63
RR(USD): 13.85

Trade closed: stop reached:
Trade 7 Stop Reached
Comment:
Trade 8 Added:

Trade 8:
Side: Long
Entry: 8821.0
Strop Loss: 8794.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 11.32
RR(USD): 17.52
Comment:
Trade 8 Changed:

Trade 8:
Side: Long
Entry: 8771.0
Strop Loss: 8749.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 14.37
RR(USD): 23.77
Trade closed: stop reached:
Trade 8 Stop Reached
Trade active:
Trade 9 Added (Open):

Trade 9:
Side: Long
Entry: 8753.0
Strop Loss: 8719.0
Target: 9294.0
RR(BTC): 10.59
RR(USD): 15.91

Comment:
Strong stop loss hunting, found support at lower third of long term bullish speed fan. Expecting strong rally, potentially higher than original targets. Heavy manipulation
Trade closed: stop reached:
Trade 9 Stop Reached
Comment:
Trade 10 Added:

Trade 10:
Side: Short
Entry: 8774.0
Strop Loss: 8811.0
Target: 8041.0
RR(BTC): 16.31
RR(USD): 19.81

Comment:
Trade 10 Changed:

Trade 10:
Side: Short
Entry: 8774.0
Strop Loss: 8834.0
Target: 8041.0
RR(BTC): 11.04
RR(USD): 12.22
Comment:
Trade 10 Updated:

Side: Short
Entry: 9046.0
Strop Loss: 9126.0
Target: 8037.0
RR(BTC): 12.23
RR(USD): 12.61

Comment:
Trade 11 Added:

Side: Long
Entry: 8708.0
Strop Loss: 8665.0
Target: 8988.0
RR(BTC): 4.58
RR(USD): 6.51

Trade active:
Trade 11 Open
Comment:
Trades 1 and 3 Cancelled, Trade 10 updated:

Trade 10:
Side: Short
Entry: 9074.0
Strop Loss: 9134.0
Target: 7721.0
RR(BTC): 21.97
RR(USD): 22.55

Comment:
Trade 11 closed at 8760 to allow reentry at 8673 (stop loss hunt appears likely)
Trade 12 Added:

Trade 12:
Side: Long
Entry: 8673.0
Strop Loss: 8629.0
Target: 8988.0
RR(BTC): 5.26
RR(USD): 7.16

Comment:
Trade 12 Updated:

Trade 12:
Side: Long
Entry: 8634.0
Strop Loss: 8568.0
Target: 8988.0
RR(BTC): 4.20
RR(USD): 5.36

Trade active:
Trade 13 Added:

Trade 13 (Open):
Side: Short
Entry: 8761.0
Strop Loss: 8789.0
Target: 8634.0
RR(BTC): 2.98
RR(USD): 4.54

Comment:
Trade closed: stop reached:
Trade 13 Stop Reached
Comment:
Trade 14 Added:

Trade 14:
Side: Short
Entry: 8847.0
Strop Loss: 8878.0
Target: 8634.0
RR(BTC): 4.82
RR(USD): 6.87

Comment:
Trade 14 cancelled, waiting on entry at trade 12
Trade closed: target reached:
Trade 11 Stop Reached
Trade active:
Trade 15 Added (Open):

Trade 15:
Side: Short
Entry: 8764.0
Strop Loss: 8791.0
Target: 8661.0
RR(BTC): 2.30
RR(USD): 3.81

Trade closed: stop reached:
**Correction to previous trade closed update. Trade 12 was closed at the stop.
Trade closed: stop reached:
Trade 15 Stop Reached
Comment:
Trade 16 and 17 Added:

Trade 16:
Side: Long
Entry: 8603.0
Strop Loss: 8568.0
Target: 8988.0
RR(BTC): 7.70
RR(USD): 11.00

Trade 17 (Open):
Side: Short
Entry: 8787.0
Strop Loss: 8804.0
Target: 8634.0
RR(BTC): 5.06
RR(USD): 9.00

Comment:
Trade 16 updated:

Trade 16:
Side: Long
Entry: 8607.0
Strop Loss: 8568.0
Target: 8988.0
RR(BTC): 7.01
RR(USD): 9.77
Comment:
Trade 17 Closed at break even

Comment:
Trade 18 Added (Open):

Trade 18:
Side: Short
Entry: 8800.5
Strop Loss: 8815.0
Target: 8634.0
RR(BTC): 6.08
RR(USD): 11.48

Trade closed: stop reached:
Trade 18 Stop Reached
Trade active:
Trade 19 Added (Open):

Trade 19:
Side: Short
Entry: 8752.5
Strop Loss: 8763.0
Target: 8634.0
RR(BTC): 4.95
RR(USD): 11.29

Comment:
Trade 16 Updated:

Trade 16:
Side: Long
Entry: 8601.0
Strop Loss: 8547.0
Target: 8988.0
RR(BTC): 5.44
RR(USD): 7.17
Comment:
Trade 16 Updated:

Trade 16:
Side: Long
Entry: 8612.0
Strop Loss: 8549.0
Target: 8988.0
RR(BTC): 4.65
RR(USD): 5.97

Comment:
Trade 19 Updated:

Trade 19:
Side: Short
Entry: 8753.0
Strop Loss: 8765.0
Target: 8634.0
RR(BTC): 4.58
RR(USD): 9.92
Comment:
All trades closed or cancelled, click the image below for new TA:
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.