ridethepig | BTC Market Commentary 2019.12.18

BITMEX:XBTUSD   Bitcoin / US Dollar Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract
Encouraging to see life breathing back into Crypto markets with the NY open, a pick-up in corp interest as we reach the bottom of the demand zone . In house client activity picked up and notably $ outflows are impressive sizes with entrenched conviction in $ softness for the months to come.

There is a serious build up of FOMO in BTC that we will see act as a catalyst for these moves and give us the extension in the short-term, as USD devaluation moderates after 1H20 the halving will dictate position-squaring and a change in the BTC landscape. For those in BTCUSD a breach of 6380 support would invalidate the entire bullish bias that has been constructed for the best part of three months and would bring in a test of 2300. Chatter of large buys continue to circulate and ultimately I expect dips in BTCUSD and BTCEUR to be bought into on grounds of position adjustment/engagement.

To the topside breaching the resistance on good volume and catalysing momentum on the long term chart means we can comfortably lean on the buy side as long as 6380 holds:

Overall, I see the case for meaningful BTC strength in 2020, but especially if considered versus USD, rather than EUR or GBP - maintaining longs will require patience and tolerance. Difficult to trade, for sure, but I still feel the bigger BTC risk lies to the topside.

Good luck all those buying dips in BTC .
Comment: Move looks impulsive..
Comment: A quick update here with volatility expanding..

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+2 Reply
Oh boy...
+1 Reply
I like it! Good way of thinking
ridethepig ReallyMe
Thanks @ReallyMe ...move is showing early signs of turning impulsive in nature.
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